Barney's Blog

Blog archive

Windows Client Collapse?

Last week, I voiced a few concerns over Gartner's analysis of virtualization. The esteemed group argued that PC virtualization will spell the end of "the monolithic, general-purpose operating system" (read: Windows).

I did an analysis of Windows on the desktop and found it almost impossible to kill. Compatibility, OEMs and the economics of Windows PCs will keep the OS large and in charge for years to come. There's simply nothing that can replace it. The Mac, Linux, mobile devices -- all just nibble around the edges of the Microsoft monopoly.

Now, the Gartner gurus have another proclamation: Windows is collapsing due to its sheer size and the only thing that can save it is virtualization (the exact opposite of the company's first prediction). The idea is for Microsoft to write all-new OS code and use a virtual layer to maintain backward compatibility. It sounds interesting in theory, but these kinds of compatibility layers are always way harder to write than you might think.

Don't these analysts even talk to each other or read each other's press releases? And just what is going to replace Windows? The expensive Mac? Linux? Pure Web? Tell me where I'm wrong and Gartner is right by writing [email protected].

Posted by Doug Barney on April 14, 2008 at 11:52 AM


Featured

  • Microsoft Readies Improvements to Teams Conferencing Hardware

    To better equip offices for meetings in the new post-lockdown, hybrid-work era, Microsoft is introducing increased functionality for Microsoft Teams hardware.

  • 2021 Microsoft Conference Calendar: For Partners, IT Pros and Developers

    Here's your guide to all the IT training sessions, partner meet-ups and annual Microsoft conferences you won't want to miss.

  • What We Know About 'Windows 11,' Microsoft's Next-Gen Client OS

    Ahead of a June 24 Microsoft presentation about the future of Windows, a pre-release build of Microsoft's next client operating system was leaked this week.

  • The 2021 Microsoft Product Roadmap

    From Windows 10X to the next generation of Microsoft's application server products, here are the product milestones coming down the pipeline in 2021.