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Windows Phone Market Share Is Sinking, with No Help on the Way

Frustration, from what we remember, is the experience of trying to reach a goal and then realizing that, no matter what you do, there is no way to reach it. It's also what a lot of people at Microsoft -- and Microsoft partners -- must be feeling right now with regard to Windows Phone.

No matter what Microsoft does, this anvil just keeps plunging deeper into an ocean of market share, falling further and further behind Google and Apple. Microsoft tried -- although not nearly for long enough, we'd say -- to compete straight-up with Android and iOS, but nothing has worked thus far.

Now, as we've noted before, Microsoft is taking the near-Soviet approach of dumbing down its offerings in hope of reaching a nonexistent swath of people who want cheap, crippled "smart" phones. Frustration is setting in, and desperation is creeping out.

We've gone over in this space many times the challenges Windows Phone faces, the most important being -- to us, anyway -- that despite being beautiful, it doesn't look like any other operating system that has come before it. Revolutionary change, unless Apple does it, often doesn't go over well in the technology industry, particularly with consumers. Microsoft has just started trying to launch a revolution with its new interface. Now, it's taking the battle in the wrong direction by making Windows Phone devices less capable, not more.

What that means is that Microsoft is yanking its starting quarterback in the first quarter and putting a lousy backup in to finish the game. (Yes, we're mixing metaphors today like tossing a salad, although your editor doesn't much like salad, usually.) The result is likely to be that Windows Phone will be a flop akin to the Kin, and the sad part is that it doesn't have to be that way. Instead of throwing in the towel, Microsoft should use some of its wads of cash to continue to boost Windows Phone's functionality, not cut it, and to educate consumers on why a Microsoft mobile OS that's completely new and different is worth a look.

What we're getting instead is more timidity from the new Microsoft. The company that once barreled over its competition in every market it entered is sadly gone. The new Microsoft, at least the new consumer Microsoft, flails, stumbles and waves the white flag at the first sign of trouble. That's a great way to be a loser for a very long time, and it's no way to inspire confidence in a partner base. But it's what we're seeing with Windows Phone, and we hope it won't seep into the rest of Microsoft's operation.

Continue to offer your take on dumbed-down Windows Phone devices in the comments or at lpender@rcpmag.com. And thanks.

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Posted by Lee Pender on March 08, 2012 at 2:16 PM


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Reader Comments

Mon, Jan 28, 2013 maged alaqel

htc

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We always witness an active consumer electronics market which is filled with the mobile phone, digital camera and baby monitor. What's most exciting in the week is the coming of the Windows Phone 7 smartphone operation system. This is the beginning of new era for Microsoft. Though the future is uncertain, Microsoft has taken the first step successfully. http://www.aegisisc.com/s DOT harepoint-developers.htmlSharepoint Solutions India Thanks.

Thu, Mar 22, 2012

I think you are wrong. I think Microsoft is correct. Smart phones are too complicated with too many features. I prefer a phone that works as a phone, and not much else. All those features are better on a PC or tablet.

Tue, Mar 20, 2012 Doug

So far,MS has taken the long view, and I hope they keep on (with more marketing). I'm N iPhone convert who appreciates how WP7.5 is put together and functions.

Fri, Mar 16, 2012

Lee, you're like the red-headed step child who burned your house down as an act of defiance (except worse, you actually *look* like a [REMOVED BY EDITOR]). Stop poisoning the well.

Wed, Mar 14, 2012 Jeff loucks Canada

Just bought am HTC Radar and was showing it off to iPhone, Android and BB users today. Judging from the crowd it is all about exposure. Microsoft will do well by focusing on value consumers who want great phones at a lower price.

Mon, Mar 12, 2012 Tom H

I have only 2 problems with Windows Phones as they are now, and I hear this echoed time and again around me. 1) There are VERY few models and most of them are exclusively on AT&T. 2) I have a contract that prevents me from taking advantage of these phones without a steep penalty. Microsoft HAS to stay in the game for at least a year or two before deciding if a product is failing or not (at least in the US). Carriers make it so difficult for a vendor to make immediate impact, yet they are so used to that immediacy that we miss out on great products unless their timing happens to coincide with our contract expirations. I know I was trying to hold out for the Win7 phone that was delayed about 18 months back, and ended up with an iPhone because Android couldn't cut it for me. How many people were in a similar situation? How many others were waiting to hear reviews before they jumped ship? They are only half way through their contract, or less. How many? Probably a significant enough minority to make it worth continuing to sell for at least another year or more before jumping to conclusions. Apple has a proven product and fanatical fan-base. Microsoft has a proven business model, but they have yet to prove anything in the mobile space, especially consumer mobile market. They need to prove it before the instant mass market will come. My thoughts on how they could get explosive growth? Release WinPhone8 with a promotional $1 license, or less, to manufacturers without any exclusivity licneses. Let them make the money instead of Microsoft (at least for a while). Indemnify them (unlike Google, but otherwise use the same tactic). Tell them up front that this license cost will go up to whatever Microsoft will charge, and how to identify when it will happen. For example "sometime after it reaches 20% market penetration". If vendors and/or carriers can't or won't promote the OS then, well then it truly is dead no matter what Microsoft does because there is definitely demand for a well designed Microsoft-based phone.

Sat, Mar 10, 2012 Brian Great Meadows, NJ

I HOPE these phones don't go away. Microsoft has lots of money, can't they subsidize vendors, advertise, or do whatever needs to be done to bring up sales? I love my HTC Arrive! Full pull out keyboard, INSTANT emailing unlike BB. Half of what I like about the phone is HTC, half is MS. Please don't tell me I have to go back to that lame loser Blackberry, or worse yet, the buggy, freezing, memory leaking and hogging Android. And those overpriced iPhones are not on my fave list either.

Fri, Mar 9, 2012 Jose Los Angeles

Microsoft should have developed a robust business OS and a consumer OS. Much like the way it has Server Enterprise and Windows 7 Home. Why cripple the enterprise in favor of the children and air-headed social dorks using fart apps? Windows Enterprise Phone is needed. Let's face it. Apple owns the consumer smartphone market and Microsoft is smoking something thinking it can take a large share from it. Apple was Never a serious Enterprise system. That belongs to Microsoft. But, in the process of trying to chase Apple, they are going to lose the Enterprise market as well. I see it everywhere, people trying to create serious business iPhone apps. Microsoft Phone is too busy trying to please HTML/CSS kids instead of its business customers. Even cable internet has Business lines (open ports, special speeds) why can't Microsoft see such a basic need???? Microsoft Enterprise Phone (Business OS) & Microsoft Consumer Phone (Fart Apps OS)

Fri, Mar 9, 2012 Victor

The problem I have is there is only one phone on Sprint. Nokia is mainly going to AT&T and I am not going to switch to them as my carrier. Now, Micorosft is offering OneNote as an application on iPhone and Android. I have a lot of info in OneNote and it is one of my main reasons for holding out for a Windows Phone. MS has now made this available to me on these platforms. I probably will not wait and will get an Android phone.

Fri, Mar 9, 2012 Sai INDIA

Windows Phone 7.5 below versions were sick.i accept.But not Windows Phone 7.5 Mango is just awesome, and it's the one of the best OS this time.Lumia and HTC Series were ground breaking. With one Windows Live ID everything appears over there your mail,messenger,contacts etc And The METRO UI,Music,Video.The way it presents.Dude,It's personal choice.I think you like iOS or some sick Android. Please if you don't like it,don't hate it.

Fri, Mar 9, 2012 Akin

Microsoft has an appalling record of failed and dead mobile and portable device platforms. Zune = dead PlaysForSure = dead Kin = dead Windows Mobile = dead now Windows Phone = dead Only the Microsoft diehards are attempting to prop up the corpse of Windows Phone and pretend that this platform is still alive. If Microsoft released Windows Phone 5 years ago, it may have had a chance, but not now. iPhone 1 was released in January 2007. Microsoft sat on its hands and twiddled its thumbs for 4 years and did nothing (apart from its CEO criticizing iPhone) before finally releasing the belated Windows Phone. Sales are abysmal and sinking. It's a dead duck.

Thu, Mar 8, 2012

I totally agree with Lee.Unfortunately the Windows Mobile team blew it big time by throwing all of the WM 6.5 ISVs under the bus, it then failed to get adoption of major ISVs for their platform (i.e. no Flash support). The final sins were to make it a closed platform, with no roadmap, boring interface, and incompetent platform development. No amount of marketing could save this sinking ship. Technically the platform is a bad joke with fewer users every day.

Thu, Mar 8, 2012

Now, let's look at the "facts" in your article. Your Windows Phone articles keep bringing up the Kin, but you keep up the myth that it was solely the lack of advanced features that killed it. While that may have contributed, a big part of the blame sits squarely upon Verizon's shoulders. They failed to push the phones (and push at the retail store level is critical). As I have mentioned before, they also went back on an agreement to provide a low-cost data plan that took into consideration the Kin's usage model and customer demographic. Nobody wants a Happy Meal at Extra Value Meal prices. Bryan (commenting below) is exactly right. Both Microsoft and Nokia are taking a GLOBAL view of the wireless market and are creating phones that will grab big chunks of worldwide market share. As for the current phones, the reviews on them are great. Last I saw, even WinPhones on Verizon get the highest marks. In Europe, the Lumia 800 is a top-selling phone. The fact that you go on and on about Microsoft dumbing things down means that you don't follow other trade publications (who obviously have better connections than you do). The Verge is reporting that Microsoft has a true "superphone" (i.e. competes with the best iOS and Android phones head-to-head) coming toward the end of this year: codenamed "Prodigy." You also seem unaware of a current campaign run by Ben Rudolph (big PR guy at MS, in case you don't have him in your Contacts list). The Smoked By Windows Phone campaign is proving that even the current windows phone can beat the latest iPhones and Androids at the tasks people do most. He started it at CES and is now going to different store locations with his $100 challenge. Windows Phones win about 85% of the head-to-head challenges. As the editor of a publication intended to help Microsoft Partners, perhaps you should wander outside your Boston pub and do some research. Calling out Microsoft on their faults is fine, but not when you haven't done your homework.

Thu, Mar 8, 2012

Lee, who at Microsoft peed in your corn flakes? What did they do that hurt you so badly that every column you write for a publication intended for Microsoft Partners finds the most negative spin possible? Have you actually used any of the things you've ripped into? Have you actually talked to the real experts (both partners and MS employees) about these products and strategies? For example, did you or anyone else attend the recent MVP Nation conference in Redmond?

Thu, Mar 8, 2012 Bryan Long Beach, CA

I view the forth coming release of the Windows Phone for cheaper hardware as a strategy to get more devices into the hands of millions of people and not just those who want expensive smart phones. I think this is mostly driven by Nokia who wants to sell more phones in China, India and other emerging markets, and not just to high-end consumers. Just because you don't want a cheap phone doesn’t mean it’s a bad idea. Microsoft is not replacing high-end smart phones with less capable phones, they are adding additional models to expand their market. It’s like you're dissing BMW for introducing new car models that aren’t better than a $400,000 supercars. Why would they make any that are not as good?

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